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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Gd Nazarenos vs Oliveira Hospital
Full time: 1-1
Our pick
WonAway Over 0.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.1 (Gd Nazarenos 1.3, Oliveira Hospital 1.8).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Gd Nazarenos1.27
Oliveira Hospital1.83
Total 3.10 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 15% | 6.68 | 5.50 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.12 | 3.60 |
| Away win | 61% | 1.65 | 1.53 |
| Home or draw | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Draw or away | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.51 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.