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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal
Gd Nazarenos vs Sertanense
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Gd Nazarenos1.26
Sertanense1.27
Total 2.54 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 36% | 2.75 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 | – |
| Away win | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Draw or away | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.00 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.94 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.06 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.