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Serie A · Italy
Genoa vs Venezia
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
Won1X (Home/Draw)
Chance
73%
Fair price
1.36
Best price found
1.28
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 73% (5 bookmakers).
- Our models: 69% to 70%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Genoa 1.4, Venezia 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.36. Best price found: 1.28.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Genoa1.45
Venezia1.19
Total 2.64 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.24 | 2.26 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | 3.40 |
| Away win | 27% | 3.67 | 3.75 |
| Home or draw | 73% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.83 | 1.72 |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 2.06 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 | 3.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.16 | 2.00 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.