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Série A · Brazil
Grêmio vs Athletico
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Grêmio1.44
Athletico1.24
Total 2.68 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 40% | 2.49 | 2.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Away win | 32% | 3.12 | 2.85 |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| Draw or away | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.44 | 4.00 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.09 | 1.95 |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.