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Serie C · Italy
Guidonia vs Perugia
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Guidonia1.22
Perugia0.97
Total 2.19 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Draw | 31% | 3.27 | – |
| Away win | 29% | 3.50 | – |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Draw or away | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Home or away | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.67 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.58 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Not both teams score | 55% | 1.81 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.