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National League North / South · England
Hereford vs AFC Telford
Our pick
86% chanceHT Under 2.5
Chance
86%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.22
- Our models: 86%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (Hereford 1.5, AFC Telford 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.22 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Hereford1.53
AFC Telford1.38
Total 2.91 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Away win | 34% | 2.92 | – |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Draw or away | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.42 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.