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National League · England
Hornchurch vs Yeovil
Our pick
77% chanceSH Over 0.5
Chance
77%
Fair price
1.30
Take at least
1.37
- Our models: 77%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Hornchurch 1.4, Yeovil 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.30. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.37 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Hornchurch1.38
Yeovil1.25
Total 2.63 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 34% | 2.90 | 2.67 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.74 | 3.37 |
| Away win | 39% | 2.58 | 2.38 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.