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Primera A · Colombia
Independiente Medellín vs Alianza Valledupar FC
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Independiente Medellín1.74
Alianza Valledupar FC0.81
Total 2.55 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 59% | 1.71 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | – |
| Away win | 16% | 6.12 | – |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Draw or away | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.