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Primera A · Colombia
Independiente Santa Fe vs Atlético Bucaramanga
Our pick
78% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
78%
Fair price
1.29
Best price found
1.23
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 78% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 78% to 79%.
- Expected goals: 2.4 (Independiente Santa Fe 1.5, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.29. Best price found: 1.23.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Independiente Santa Fe1.47
Atlético Bucaramanga0.89
Total 2.35 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 50% | 2.01 | 1.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.64 | 3.29 |
| Away win | 23% | 4.39 | 3.91 |
| Home or draw | 77% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Draw or away | 51% | 1.96 | 1.82 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.27 | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.44 | 3.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.68 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Both teams score | 49% | 2.06 | 1.90 |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.80 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.