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J1 League · Japan
JEF United Chiba vs Avispa Fukuoka
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
JEF United Chiba1.14
Avispa Fukuoka1.13
Total 2.27 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Draw | 29% | 3.46 | – |
| Away win | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Home or draw | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Draw or away | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.14 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.86 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.