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1. Division · Cyprus
Karmiotissa vs Apollon
Full time: 0-5
Our pick
WonHT X2 (Draw/Away)
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84% to 85%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Karmiotissa 0.8, Apollon 1.8).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Karmiotissa0.82
Apollon1.82
Total 2.64 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 16% | 6.09 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.38 | – |
| Away win | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Home or draw | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Draw or away | 84% | 1.20 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.67 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.89 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.