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NPFL · Nigeria
Katsina United vs Sporting Lagos FC
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Katsina United1.62
Sporting Lagos FC0.76
Total 2.39 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Away win | 17% | 5.86 | – |
| Home or draw | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Draw or away | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.58 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.