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TFF 1. Lig · Turkey
Keciorengucu vs Bursaspor
Full time: 2-4
Our pick
LostUnder 4.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.17
Take at least
1.23
- Our models: 85% to 86%.
- Expected goals: 2.8 (Keciorengucu 1.3, Bursaspor 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.17. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.23 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Keciorengucu1.32
Bursaspor1.44
Total 2.76 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Away win | 39% | 2.58 | – |
| Home or draw | 61% | 1.63 | – |
| Draw or away | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.35 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.33 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.