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NPFL · Nigeria
Kun Khalifat FC vs Inter Lagos FC
Full time: 1-0
Our pick
Won12 (Home/Away)
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.21
Take at least
1.27
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Kun Khalifat FC 2.1, Inter Lagos FC 0.5).
- Fair price: 1.21. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.27 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Kun Khalifat FC2.12
Inter Lagos FC0.47
Total 2.58 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Draw | 18% | 5.68 | – |
| Away win | 7% | 15.11 | – |
| Home or draw | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Draw or away | 24% | 4.13 | – |
| Home or away | 82% | 1.21 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.84 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Both teams score | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Not both teams score | 67% | 1.49 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.