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Ligue 1 · France
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Le Havre0.82
Paris Saint-Germain2.20
Total 3.02 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 8% | 12.21 | 10.05 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.52 | 6.58 |
| Away win | 79% | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Home or draw | 24% | 4.17 | 3.94 |
| Draw or away | 90% | 1.11 | 1.05 |
| Home or away | 86% | 1.16 | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.65 | 3.27 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.07 | 1.98 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.66 |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.31 | 2.13 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.