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Serie A · Italy
Lecce vs Genoa
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lecce1.13
Genoa1.17
Total 2.30 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 34% | 2.94 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | – |
| Away win | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Home or draw | 64% | 1.56 | – |
| Draw or away | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.99 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.91 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.