← All predictions
League One · England
Leicester vs Wigan
Our pick
84% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Best price found
1.13
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 84% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 74%.
- Expected goals: 2.6 (Leicester 1.8, Wigan 0.8).
- Fair price: 1.19. Best price found: 1.13.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Leicester1.82
Wigan0.81
Total 2.63 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 67% | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.22 | 4.71 |
| Away win | 14% | 7.21 | 6.31 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| Draw or away | 35% | 2.86 | 2.67 |
| Home or away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 | 2.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | 2.40 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.74 | 1.64 |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.35 | 2.16 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.