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Ligue 1 · France
Lille vs Lens
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lille1.28
Lens1.16
Total 2.44 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 41% | 2.47 | 2.33 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | 3.54 |
| Away win | 33% | 3.01 | 2.82 |
| Home or draw | 67% | 1.49 | 1.39 |
| Draw or away | 60% | 1.68 | 1.57 |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.90 | 2.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.53 | 1.46 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.55 | 2.32 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.