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Championship · England
Lincoln vs Birmingham
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lincoln1.20
Birmingham1.25
Total 2.45 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 35% | 2.86 | – |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | – |
| Away win | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.38 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.30 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Both teams score | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Not both teams score | 50% | 2.00 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.