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Premier League · England
Liverpool vs Arsenal
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Liverpool1.26
Arsenal1.48
Total 2.74 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30% | 3.31 | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | 3.80 |
| Away win | 44% | 2.28 | 2.32 |
| Home or draw | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Draw or away | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.39 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | 2.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Both teams score | 55% | 1.80 | – |
| Not both teams score | 45% | 2.24 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.