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FAW Championship (North & South) · Wales
Llantwit Major vs Newport City
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Llantwit Major1.35
Newport City1.32
Total 2.67 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | – |
| Away win | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Home or draw | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Draw or away | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Both teams score | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Not both teams score | 46% | 2.16 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.