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First League · Bulgaria
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lok. Plovdiv0.70
Ludogorets1.56
Total 2.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 17% | 6.05 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | – |
| Away win | 58% | 1.74 | – |
| Home or draw | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Draw or away | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.18 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Both teams score | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Not both teams score | 60% | 1.67 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.