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First League · Bulgaria
Lok. Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
Our pick
83% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Best price found
1.15
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 83% (2 bookmakers).
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 2.1 (Lok. Plovdiv 1.2, Slavia Sofia 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.21. Best price found: 1.15.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lok. Plovdiv1.19
Slavia Sofia0.92
Total 2.10 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.20 | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.39 | 3.05 |
| Away win | 25% | 3.98 | 3.53 |
| Home or draw | 75% | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.82 | 1.69 |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.46 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 | 2.49 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.77 | 4.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Both teams score | 44% | 2.26 | 2.08 |
| Not both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | 1.68 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.