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First League · Bulgaria
Lokomotiv Sf vs Botev Plovdiv
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lokomotiv Sf1.37
Botev Plovdiv1.41
Total 2.78 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 35% | 2.87 | 2.64 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.63 | 3.28 |
| Away win | 38% | 2.66 | 2.46 |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.61 | 1.49 |
| Draw or away | 66% | 1.52 | 1.41 |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 | 2.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 | 2.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.40 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.49 | 2.26 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.