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Liga 3 · Portugal
Louletano DC vs Atletico CP
Full time: 2-2
Our pick
LostUnder 3.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.20
Take at least
1.26
- Our models: 83%.
- Expected goals: 2.1 (Louletano DC 0.9, Atletico CP 1.2).
- Fair price: 1.20. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.26 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Louletano DC0.92
Atletico CP1.21
Total 2.12 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 28% | 3.53 | 3.22 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | 3.13 |
| Away win | 42% | 2.36 | 2.20 |
| Home or draw | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Draw or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Home or away | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 6.04 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Both teams score | 50% | 1.99 | 1.82 |
| Not both teams score | 50% | 2.01 | 1.84 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.