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Super League · Switzerland
Lugano vs Basel
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lugano1.63
Basel1.16
Total 2.78 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | – |
| Away win | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Home or draw | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Draw or away | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | – |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.27 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.