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Liga Portugal 2 · Portugal
Lusitania FC vs Farense
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Lusitania FC1.20
Farense1.12
Total 2.33 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | – |
| Away win | 34% | 2.93 | – |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Draw or away | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.85 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.89 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.