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League One · England
Luton vs Doncaster
Our pick
81% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.18
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 2.9 (Luton 1.9, Doncaster 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.18.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Luton1.93
Doncaster1.02
Total 2.95 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 54% | 1.85 | 1.77 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.23 | 3.89 |
| Away win | 22% | 4.48 | 4.10 |
| Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Draw or away | 46% | 2.18 | 2.04 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.82 | 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | 2.26 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 | 1.47 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.44 | 2.24 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.