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Premier League · England
Manchester City vs Brighton
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Manchester City2.09
Brighton1.19
Total 3.28 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 58% | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.66 | 4.60 |
| Away win | 21% | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | 1.18 |
| Draw or away | 43% | 2.31 | 2.16 |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.42 | 2.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 | 2.76 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.68 |
| Both teams score | 62% | 1.61 | 1.52 |
| Not both teams score | 38% | 2.65 | 2.42 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.