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Premier League · England
Manchester United vs Bournemouth
Full time: 0-3
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
82%
Fair price
1.22
Best price found
1.17
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 82% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 82% to 83%.
- Expected goals: 3.2 (Manchester United 1.7, Bournemouth 1.4).
- Fair price: 1.22. Best price found: 1.17.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Manchester United1.75
Bournemouth1.43
Total 3.17 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.34 | 2.36 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | 3.75 |
| Away win | 31% | 3.20 | 3.15 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.80 | 1.69 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 | 2.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Both teams score | 62% | 1.61 | 1.52 |
| Not both teams score | 38% | 2.64 | 2.41 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.