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TFF 1. Lig · Turkey
Mardin 1969 vs Manisa FK
Our pick
87% chanceUnder 4.5
Chance
87%
Fair price
1.16
Take at least
1.21
- Our models: 86% to 87%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Mardin 1969 1.7, Manisa FK 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.16. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.21 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Mardin 19691.71
Manisa FK0.97
Total 2.68 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Draw | 26% | 3.83 | – |
| Away win | 20% | 4.98 | – |
| Home or draw | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Draw or away | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.55 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Both teams score | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Not both teams score | 48% | 2.08 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.