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Ligue 1 · France
Marseille vs Le Havre
Full time: 4-3
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
85%
Fair price
1.18
Best price found
1.14
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 85% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 81% to 82%.
- Expected goals: 3.1 (Marseille 2.2, Le Havre 0.9).
- Fair price: 1.18. Best price found: 1.14.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Marseille2.17
Le Havre0.95
Total 3.12 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 62% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.94 | 4.49 |
| Away win | 17% | 5.79 | 5.21 |
| Home or draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Draw or away | 39% | 2.56 | 2.40 |
| Home or away | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 | 2.36 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | 2.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 1.72 | 1.62 |
| Not both teams score | 42% | 2.40 | 2.21 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.