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Ligue 1 · France
Marseille vs Toulouse
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Marseille1.84
Toulouse1.25
Total 3.10 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | – |
| Away win | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Home or draw | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Draw or away | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.55 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.