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A-League · Australia
Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Melbourne Victory1.74
Central Coast Mariners1.15
Total 2.89 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 | – |
| Away win | 25% | 4.00 | – |
| Home or draw | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Draw or away | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.30 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.