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Ligue 2 · France
Metz vs Pau FC
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Metz1.98
Pau FC1.19
Total 3.17 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.22 | 2.09 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | 3.54 |
| Away win | 29% | 3.43 | 3.16 |
| Home or draw | 71% | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.81 | 1.69 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 | 2.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 | 2.03 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 1.74 | 1.63 |
| Not both teams score | 42% | 2.36 | 2.17 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.