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Serie A · Italy
Milan vs Bologna
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Milan1.63
Bologna1.07
Total 2.70 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 60% | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | 4.00 |
| Away win | 17% | 5.83 | 5.50 |
| Home or draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.15 |
| Draw or away | 42% | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.78 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.29 | 2.97 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.37 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 1.94 | 1.81 |
| Not both teams score | 48% | 2.07 | 1.92 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.