← All predictions
Serie A · Italy
Monza vs Napoli
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Monza0.91
Napoli1.67
Total 2.57 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 22% | 4.64 | 4.80 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.15 | 4.20 |
| Away win | 54% | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| Home or draw | 47% | 2.15 | 2.02 |
| Draw or away | 77% | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.00 | 2.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 | 1.43 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.78 | 1.68 |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.27 | 2.10 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.