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Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense vs Estrela
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Moreirense1.37
Estrela1.11
Total 2.48 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Draw | 27% | 3.77 | – |
| Away win | 31% | 3.27 | – |
| Home or draw | 69% | 1.44 | – |
| Draw or away | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.21 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Both teams score | 50% | 2.01 | – |
| Not both teams score | 50% | 1.99 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.