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Campeonato de Portugal · Portugal

Mortágua vs FC Alverca B

Our pick

Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.

Published , before kick-off, and never changed.

Expected goals

Mortágua1.13
FC Alverca B0.94

Total 2.07 goals expected.

Chances by market

bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'
MarketChanceFair priceBest price
Home win40%2.51–
Draw30%3.37–
Away win30%3.28–
Home or draw70%1.44–
Draw or away60%1.66–
Home or away70%1.42–
Over 1.5 goals61%1.64–
Over 2.5 goals34%2.92–
Over 3.5 goals16%6.41–
Under 2.5 goals66%1.52–
Under 3.5 goals84%1.18–
Both teams score41%2.43–
Not both teams score59%1.70–

A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.