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MLS · USA
New York City FC vs Atlanta United
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
New York City FC1.67
Atlanta United1.03
Total 2.70 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 53% | 1.88 | 1.76 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.23 | 3.75 |
| Away win | 23% | 4.29 | 3.80 |
| Home or draw | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Draw or away | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.32 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Both teams score | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Not both teams score | 47% | 2.11 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.