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A-League · Australia
Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix FC
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Newcastle Jets1.95
Wellington Phoenix FC1.31
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Away win | 25% | 3.94 | – |
| Home or draw | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Draw or away | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.29 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.69 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.