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League Two · England
Newport County vs Chesterfield
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Newport County1.18
Chesterfield1.71
Total 2.88 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 27% | 3.77 | 3.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | 3.46 |
| Away win | 47% | 2.12 | 1.99 |
| Home or draw | 52% | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| Draw or away | 74% | 1.36 | 1.25 |
| Home or away | 74% | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.79 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.38 | 2.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| Both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| Not both teams score | 43% | 2.31 | 2.12 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.