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Primera A · Colombia
Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar FC
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Once Caldas1.68
Alianza Valledupar FC0.79
Total 2.47 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 62% | 1.61 | 1.53 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | 3.78 |
| Away win | 14% | 7.03 | 6.02 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.12 |
| Draw or away | 41% | 2.43 | 2.28 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.15 | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.06 | 3.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 | 1.76 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.15 | 1.97 |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.87 | 1.74 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.