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Serie C · Italy
Pergolettese vs Lumezzane
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonUnder 3.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.19
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 83% to 84%.
- Expected goals: 2.1 (Pergolettese 1.1, Lumezzane 1.0).
- Fair price: 1.19. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Pergolettese1.08
Lumezzane1.03
Total 2.11 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 35% | 2.82 | – |
| Draw | 32% | 3.16 | – |
| Away win | 33% | 3.04 | – |
| Home or draw | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Draw or away | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Home or away | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.15 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Both teams score | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Not both teams score | 57% | 1.76 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.