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Serie C · Italy
Picerno vs Salernitana
Our pick
80% chanceUnder 3.5
Chance
80%
Fair price
1.25
Take at least
1.32
- Our models: 79% to 80%.
- Expected goals: 2.3 (Picerno 1.0, Salernitana 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.25. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.32 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Picerno1.05
Salernitana1.27
Total 2.31 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 30% | 3.37 | – |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | – |
| Away win | 41% | 2.47 | – |
| Home or draw | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Draw or away | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Home or away | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.91 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | – |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.90 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.