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League One · England
Plymouth vs Reading
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Plymouth1.76
Reading1.43
Total 3.19 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 45% | 2.20 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | – |
| Away win | 31% | 3.19 | – |
| Home or draw | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Draw or away | 55% | 1.83 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.71 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.