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Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II
Our pick
Our pick for this match is published about 48 hours before kick-off.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
PSV Eindhoven3.47
Willem II0.74
Total 4.21 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Draw | 9% | 11.31 | – |
| Away win | 4% | 23.15 | – |
| Home or draw | 96% | 1.05 | – |
| Draw or away | 13% | 7.60 | – |
| Home or away | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 21% | 4.75 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.03 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.