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Liga MX · Mexico
Querétaro FC vs Cruz Azul
Full time: 1-3
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
81%
Fair price
1.24
Best price found
1.19
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 81% (4 bookmakers).
- Our models: 73% to 75%.
- Expected goals: 2.7 (Querétaro FC 1.1, Cruz Azul 1.6).
- Fair price: 1.24. Best price found: 1.19.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Querétaro FC1.10
Cruz Azul1.56
Total 2.66 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 27% | 3.72 | 3.36 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| Away win | 48% | 2.08 | 1.94 |
| Home or draw | 52% | 1.93 | 1.79 |
| Draw or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Home or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.82 | 2.54 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 | 2.19 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 | 1.47 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.66 | 1.56 |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.52 | 2.29 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.