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National League North / South · England
Radcliffe vs Chorley
Our pick
84% chanceOver 1.5
Chance
84%
Fair price
1.20
Take at least
1.25
- Our models: 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (Radcliffe 1.5, Chorley 1.8).
- Fair price: 1.20. No bookmaker price yet: worth taking at 1.25 or more.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Radcliffe1.51
Chorley1.75
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 33% | 3.00 | – |
| Draw | 23% | 4.32 | – |
| Away win | 44% | 2.30 | – |
| Home or draw | 56% | 1.77 | – |
| Draw or away | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Home or away | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Both teams score | 64% | 1.55 | – |
| Not both teams score | 36% | 2.81 | – |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.