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La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad vs Levante UD
Full time: 2-1
Our pick
WonOver 1.5
Chance
83%
Fair price
1.21
Best price found
1.16
- Bookmakers' combined chance, margin removed: 83% (3 bookmakers).
- Our models: 82% to 84%.
- Expected goals: 3.3 (Real Sociedad 1.9, Levante UD 1.3).
- Fair price: 1.21. Best price found: 1.16.
Published , before kick-off, and never changed.
Expected goals
Real Sociedad1.95
Levante UD1.31
Total 3.26 goals expected.
Chances by market
bookmakers' chance with their margin removed where priced, else our models'| Market | Chance | Fair price | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home win | 61% | 1.64 | 1.63 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.72 | 4.60 |
| Away win | 18% | 5.59 | 5.70 |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | 1.16 |
| Draw or away | 41% | 2.44 | 2.29 |
| Home or away | 78% | 1.28 | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 | 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 | 2.54 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.69 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Not both teams score | 42% | 2.40 | 2.21 |
A price above the fair price is worth more than the chance says; below it, the bookmaker's margin outweighs it.